By the end of May 2012, the Index (based on actual transactions settled in euros) was 21.2% higher than in May 2010, the starting point for the index. After this date, however, rates have fallen consistently.
The rise in prices up to May 2012 had several factors behind it. Firstly, the market was undergoing a substantial ‘bounce-back’ from the crisis point of 2009, when prices crashed. Quantifying the effect of this is difficult as rather than settle back to equilibrium, prices have remained volatile. This volatility appears to be a structural issue, both in terms of demand and supply in the market.
It would seem likely that the fall in prices over the past few months has been driven by falling demand, whilst capacity has yet to re-adjust.
John Manners-Bell, CEO of Transport Intelligence, commented, “Visibility of international road freight rates in Europe has historically been very poor. At this time of economic volatility and uncertainty, we are delighted to be able to partner with Freightex to provide the industry with an increased level of insight into the market.”
Tim Phillips, CEO of Freightex added, “Transparency of rates allows consignors to easily check if they are getting the appropriate price for the services they require, or to support and analyse the costs of entering new markets. Carriers can also use it to discuss increases in rates based on real market knowledge.”