Canada’s merchandise trade surplus widened to the largest in 14 years as the nation benefits from surging global prices for its crude oil.
Exports exceeded imports by C$5.3 billion ($4.1 billion) in May, the highest since August 2008. The surplus was more than double economists’ forecasts and the C$2.2 billion surplus reported for April.
In the first five months of 2022, the nation recorded a cumulative C$15.9 billion of surpluses. Canada had a trade deficit of C$1.5 billion in the same period last year.
But the surge in oil is also making the country increasingly reliant on fossil fuels. Energy exports rose 5.7% to C$20.4 billion in May, representing 30% of total shipments—an all-time high share. The bulk of that is fossil fuels like crude oil and natural gas, which made up 29% of exports in May.
Canada’s trade surplus with US, its largest trading partner and biggest market for oil, hit a record C$14 billion ($10.8 billion) in May.
Economists were anticipating the surplus would widen to C$2.4 billion in May, from C$1.5 billion initially reported for April. Statistics Canada revised data going back to January that showed the nation’s exports were stronger than initially estimated.
The export gain in May wasn’t just a price phenomenon, with volumes up 1.7%. Imports fell in May—both in nominal and volume terms—pulling back gains from earlier this year.
Exports also increased for non-energy products, which rose 3.5% on aircraft shipments.
Service exports rose 1.7%, while import services were up 0.5% in May.